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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151127406080100120140160180200163109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#12
54.91.6
55.757.3
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
red by 9.0
6078
#32
45.90.9
43.542.6
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
Second
54.61.6
49.851.4
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
red by 10.4
3767
#22
44.20.9
43.042.1
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
Third
9208
#31
35.91.6
37.439.0
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End7.7
red by 0.9
5167
#21
35.10.9
36.235.3
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed