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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139137100150200128129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#12
54.90.2
57.257.1
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
red by 2.7
862
#1
52.20.0
49.149.1
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
Second
5926
#18
38.00.2
38.037.9
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
blue by 6.2
3767
#22
44.20.0
47.747.8
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
Third
7782
#40
36.00.2
38.137.9
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 4.5
5561
#11
40.50.0
33.733.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned