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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146110050200250123129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.6
63.663.0
Auto17.0
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 19.1
2832
#26
44.21.4
41.643.0
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
Second
5660
#19
47.00.6
43.442.8
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 8.8
6753
#15
38.31.4
29.831.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
Third
4453
#28
29.30.6
28.227.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End7.9
blue by 6.6
9208
#31
35.91.4
36.638.0
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned