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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127128100110120140150160156129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.02.0
47.149.2
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 1.9
53.10.3
50.350.6
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
Second
6078
#32
45.92.0
46.148.1
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
red by 11.3
6861
#27
34.60.3
33.834.2
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
Third
5534
#17
35.32.0
27.129.1
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
red by 4.6
7250
#38
30.60.3
34.735.1
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned