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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011950100150200119118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#10
58.01.0
55.954.9
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
red by 12.0
503
#9
45.90.2
48.148.4
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
Second
5534
#17
35.31.0
36.535.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
blue by 0.8
7782
#40
36.00.2
35.035.2
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Third
6861
#27
34.61.0
36.435.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
red by 5.2
4453
#28
29.30.2
31.231.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned