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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148140050100200250300159145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#3
58.11.4
55.557.0
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 5.0
53.10.1
55.555.6
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
Second
2832
#26
44.21.4
43.845.2
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
red by 0.6
7160
#34
43.60.1
43.343.3
Auto12.7
Teleop22.1
End8.2
Third
3767
#22
44.21.4
42.343.7
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
red by 9.1
5167
#21
35.10.1
35.335.4
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned