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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16212950100150200250113109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
54.42.3
55.352.9
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
blue by 0.5
4362
#12
54.91.4
55.954.5
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
Second
42.72.3
47.445.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 2.2
5561
#11
40.51.4
40.038.6
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
Third
1023
#23
41.92.3
47.144.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
red by 16.8
8382
#39
25.11.4
29.127.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsMissed