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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514805020025092152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#16
46.80.8
50.449.5
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
blue by 5.4
862
#1
52.20.9
49.250.1
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
Second
7501
#37
33.80.8
35.734.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
blue by 10.9
3546
#29
44.70.9
43.944.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Third
2604
#35
17.00.8
18.217.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
blue by 21.1
2771
#13
38.10.9
40.241.1
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned