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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311950100200250145104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.4
59.960.3
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
red by 24.1
5926
#18
38.00.8
40.439.6
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
Second
1189
#24
51.80.4
51.651.9
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
red by 15.8
9208
#31
35.90.8
39.038.2
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End7.7
Third
7250
#38
30.60.4
31.331.7
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
blue by 4.3
308
#36
34.90.8
36.435.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned