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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12813780100120160180200124140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#22
44.20.2
43.743.9
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
blue by 10.8
55.00.8
54.155.0
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
7160
#34
43.60.2
43.343.5
Auto12.7
Teleop22.1
End8.2
red by 5.3
6753
#15
38.30.8
37.838.6
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
Third
5603
#33
34.30.2
34.134.3
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
blue by 0.2
6861
#27
34.60.8
35.436.2
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned