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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156144100120180200220162161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.60.8
52.953.7
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
blue by 3.4
302
#10
58.01.6
54.956.6
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
Second
862
#1
52.20.8
50.150.9
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 5.2
5660
#19
47.01.6
46.848.5
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Third
6078
#32
45.90.8
45.246.0
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
red by 5.4
5561
#11
40.51.6
38.640.3
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned