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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421060502009199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#16
46.82.5
49.547.0
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
red by 0.9
503
#9
45.90.7
48.447.7
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
Second
2771
#13
38.12.5
41.138.5
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
blue by 1.9
1025
#25
40.00.7
38.437.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Third
9208
#31
35.92.5
38.235.7
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End7.7
red by 19.0
2604
#35
17.00.7
17.416.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned