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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014550100200250119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
54.40.3
52.952.6
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
blue by 8.9
63.31.1
63.962.8
Auto17.0
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
5534
#17
35.30.3
35.535.2
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
red by 0.2
5167
#21
35.11.1
35.434.2
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Third
308
#36
34.90.3
35.635.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
red by 1.1
7501
#37
33.81.1
34.933.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsMissed