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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10517150150200250112152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#20
42.00.3
40.240.5
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End6.9
blue by 16.1
245
#3
58.10.4
57.056.6
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
7782
#40
36.00.3
35.235.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 18.9
4362
#12
54.90.4
54.554.1
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
Third
7250
#38
30.60.3
31.732.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
blue by 14.0
3546
#29
44.70.4
44.844.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned