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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251585010020025096155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#26
44.21.7
45.243.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
blue by 17.9
62.10.7
60.361.1
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
Second
5926
#18
38.01.7
39.638.0
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
blue by 14.2
862
#1
52.20.7
50.951.6
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
Third
6861
#27
34.61.7
36.234.6
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
blue by 3.8
8179
#30
38.30.7
37.538.2
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned