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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812550100150200108132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#19
47.01.3
48.547.1
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
blue by 11.0
245
#3
58.10.8
56.657.4
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
503
#9
45.91.3
47.746.4
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
red by 10.9
5167
#21
35.10.8
34.235.1
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Third
7250
#38
30.61.3
32.030.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
red by 1.3
4453
#28
29.30.8
28.529.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned