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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381406080100120160180200155132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
54.41.7
52.654.3
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
red by 8.5
6078
#32
45.90.1
46.046.1
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
Second
548
#20
42.01.7
40.542.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End6.9
blue by 2.2
2832
#26
44.20.1
43.543.6
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
Third
1025
#25
40.01.7
37.839.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
blue by 3.6
7160
#34
43.60.1
43.543.6
Auto12.7
Teleop22.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned