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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17812150100150200250183132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.9
61.161.9
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
red by 17.4
3546
#29
44.70.4
44.544.9
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Second
54.60.9
53.754.6
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
red by 14.0
5561
#11
40.50.4
40.340.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
Third
53.10.9
52.653.5
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
red by 17.1
7782
#40
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned