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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162135100150200161131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.2
55.055.2
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 8.0
5660
#19
47.00.1
47.147.0
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
54.60.2
54.654.7
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
red by 11.9
42.70.1
42.942.8
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Third
3767
#22
44.20.2
44.244.4
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
red by 2.2
548
#20
42.00.1
42.242.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End6.9