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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164162130140150170180190150149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#3
58.10.0
57.457.4
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
blue by 5.3
63.30.1
63.663.5
Auto17.0
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
302
#10
58.00.0
57.457.3
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
red by 11.2
2960
#16
46.80.1
47.147.0
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Third
2832
#26
44.20.0
43.643.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
blue by 0.5
3546
#29
44.70.1
44.944.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3