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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161160140150170180190168169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.4
55.255.6
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
blue by 3.0
245
#3
58.10.3
57.457.7
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
54.60.4
54.755.2
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
blue by 3.4
302
#10
58.00.3
57.357.6
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
Third
3767
#22
44.20.4
44.444.8
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
Level
2832
#26
44.20.3
43.543.8
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8