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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163161130140150170180190164146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.3
62.462.7
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
blue by 1.2
63.30.2
63.563.3
Auto17.0
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
5460
#14
54.40.3
54.855.1
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
red by 7.6
2960
#16
46.80.2
47.046.8
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Third
8179
#30
38.30.3
38.739.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
blue by 6.3
3546
#29
44.70.2
44.844.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3