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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144125100200159122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.21.7
57.559.2
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
red by 10.4
53.90.2
47.447.2
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
Second
48.81.7
42.344.0
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
red by 3.4
7056
#19
45.30.2
43.142.9
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End9.1
Third
7790
#24
33.41.7
33.235.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
red by 6.5
5612
#35
26.90.2
29.229.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned