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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281338010012014016018014597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.51.6
66.468.0
Auto15.3
Teleop42.2
End9.7
red by 16.9
52.62.2
53.551.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
Second
4779
#17
43.91.6
37.038.6
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
red by 3.6
7166
#26
40.22.2
39.036.8
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
Third
3098
#29
26.71.6
17.018.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 4.3
3875
#38
31.02.2
35.633.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed