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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210250200144105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.2
62.762.8
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
red by 20.5
5436
#28
44.50.2
40.540.7
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
Second
3536
#20
43.20.2
40.040.1
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
red by 11.8
4004
#40
31.30.2
34.034.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Third
5114
#25
43.00.2
38.438.6
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
red by 15.2
9215
#36
27.80.2
27.527.7
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned