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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15411850100200250168145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.6
52.854.4
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
red by 15.5
4405
#39
41.22.0
46.048.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
Second
27
#9
53.71.6
55.356.8
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
red by 15.7
7054
#12
38.02.0
29.131.1
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
Third
6152
#32
31.91.6
34.435.9
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 4.9
68
#30
36.92.0
40.442.4
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned