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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12014550100200250103135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#14
45.60.8
47.346.4
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
blue by 11.7
857
#13
57.30.1
58.858.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
5535
#33
33.90.8
31.831.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 9.4
7220
#18
43.30.1
43.743.9
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Third
1711
#34
32.10.8
36.535.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
blue by 1.4
5843
#21
33.50.1
32.132.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned