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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15897050200250152105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#11
55.30.4
50.651.1
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
red by 7.5
3414
#10
47.70.4
45.145.5
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
Second
6081
#16
48.90.4
49.850.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
red by 7.7
4776
#22
41.20.4
36.737.2
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
Third
3656
#23
41.50.4
44.645.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
red by 14.8
3098
#29
26.70.4
16.617.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned