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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11515350100200101153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#31
42.20.8
44.844.0
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
blue by 11.5
27
#9
53.70.6
56.857.4
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
Second
5843
#21
33.50.8
32.231.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 9.7
3536
#20
43.20.6
40.140.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Third
6152
#32
31.90.8
35.935.1
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 9.6
3656
#23
41.50.6
45.045.6
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned