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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13112580100120140160118109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#11
55.30.3
51.150.8
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
red by 12.3
5114
#25
43.00.6
38.638.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Second
5436
#28
44.50.3
40.740.4
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
red by 3.4
4405
#39
41.20.6
48.047.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
Third
7054
#12
38.00.3
31.130.8
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
red by 6.9
3875
#38
31.00.6
33.532.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed