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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814250200131150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.21.4
59.260.6
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
red by 7.6
56.71.4
54.455.8
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Second
9215
#36
27.81.4
27.729.0
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 16.1
4779
#17
43.91.4
38.640.0
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Third
3098
#29
26.71.4
18.720.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 5.4
1711
#34
32.11.4
35.737.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned