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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213280100120160180200144139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#16
48.90.2
51.351.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
blue by 5.0
53.91.0
47.248.2
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
Second
3414
#10
47.70.2
45.545.7
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
blue by 1.2
85
#15
49.01.0
46.547.4
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Third
2620
#27
36.10.2
34.734.8
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
red by 2.2
5535
#33
33.91.0
31.031.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned