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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154109100200168129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.61.3
51.352.6
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
red by 9.3
7220
#18
43.30.7
43.944.6
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Second
48.81.3
44.045.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
red by 15.4
7790
#24
33.40.7
35.035.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
Third
4392
#31
42.21.3
44.045.3
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
red by 15.3
5612
#35
26.90.7
29.029.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned