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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129170100150200145156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#22
41.21.3
38.339.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
blue by 23.8
65.00.1
62.862.9
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
Second
7166
#26
40.21.3
36.838.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
blue by 24.4
64.60.1
54.654.7
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
Third
217
#37
38.71.3
51.753.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
blue by 2.8
3656
#23
41.50.1
45.645.7
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned