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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419550150200128114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.1
48.248.3
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
red by 9.4
5436
#28
44.50.6
40.441.0
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
Second
3414
#10
47.70.1
45.745.8
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
red by 11.7
2620
#27
36.10.6
34.835.4
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
Third
6152
#32
31.90.1
35.135.2
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
red by 5.2
3098
#29
26.70.6
20.020.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed