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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11016050100200250144142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#10
47.71.1
44.045.1
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
blue by 9.6
857
#13
57.30.1
58.958.8
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
7166
#26
40.21.1
37.939.0
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
blue by 13.4
27
#9
53.70.1
55.455.3
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
Third
7054
#12
38.01.1
28.029.1
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
red by 4.6
7790
#24
33.40.1
33.433.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed