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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12615150100200103146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.2
48.647.4
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
blue by 1.4
2054
#11
55.30.5
50.150.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
Second
1711
#34
32.11.2
37.736.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
blue by 13.5
5675
#14
45.60.5
46.847.3
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Third
4004
#40
31.31.2
35.234.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 10.9
4392
#31
42.20.5
44.344.8
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned