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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114132050100150200250117149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
43.90.5
36.537.0
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
blue by 12.8
56.71.8
51.052.8
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Second
3536
#20
43.20.5
39.540.0
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
blue by 5.6
48.81.8
40.442.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Third
2620
#27
36.10.5
33.534.0
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
red by 2.6
5843
#21
33.51.8
30.332.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned