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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11916750100150200250125162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#19
45.30.5
42.643.1
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End9.1
blue by 19.7
65.00.7
61.962.7
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
Second
68
#30
36.90.5
39.940.4
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
blue by 15.7
52.60.7
52.853.5
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
Third
3875
#38
31.00.5
35.135.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
blue by 17.9
85
#15
49.00.7
44.645.4
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned