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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147151120130140160170180190175167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#13
57.32.1
57.059.1
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
red by 8.4
6081
#16
48.91.0
51.552.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
Second
5114
#25
43.02.1
38.040.1
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
blue by 5.8
48.81.0
45.346.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Third
4392
#31
42.22.1
45.347.4
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
blue by 1.1
7220
#18
43.31.0
44.645.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned