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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041355015020087119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#22
41.21.0
39.538.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
red by 2.5
217
#37
38.70.3
53.052.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
Second
4004
#40
31.31.0
32.231.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 0.8
1711
#34
32.10.3
37.136.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
Third
5612
#35
26.91.0
29.728.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
blue by 4.2
3875
#38
31.00.3
32.932.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned