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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179130100150200250180129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.51.2
68.569.7
Auto15.3
Teleop42.2
End9.7
red by 20.6
6081
#16
48.90.6
52.551.9
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
Second
64.21.2
60.661.8
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
red by 21.1
3536
#20
43.20.6
40.840.1
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Third
7166
#26
40.21.2
40.241.4
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
red by 8.3
6152
#32
31.90.6
35.234.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned