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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17013910015020025014185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#9
53.72.6
57.955.3
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
red by 9.8
4779
#17
43.93.3
41.838.5
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Second
85
#15
49.02.6
49.246.6
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 5.7
7220
#18DQ
43.33.3
45.742.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Third
217
#37
38.72.6
52.750.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
blue by 3.5
4392
#31
42.23.3
47.444.1
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsMissed