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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113080100120160180200143119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#13
57.30.8
58.459.2
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
red by 8.3
85
#15
49.00.3
46.646.3
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Second
6081
#16
48.90.8
51.952.7
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
red by 7.8
4405
#39
41.20.3
47.947.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
Third
3098
#29
26.70.8
20.621.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 0.2
5612
#35
26.90.3
28.828.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned