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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124150050100200250157122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.92.5
49.552.0
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
red by 0.2
27
#9
53.71.0
55.354.3
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
Second
4779
#17
43.92.5
38.541.0
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
red by 0.6
7220
#18
43.31.0
42.441.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Third
7054
#12
38.02.5
31.934.3
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
red by 1.1
68
#30
36.91.0
40.539.5
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed