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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313405015020010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#33
33.90.2
33.333.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 9.3
3536
#20
43.23.3
40.136.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Second
7790
#24
33.40.2
39.038.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
blue by 5.3
217
#37
38.73.3
50.246.9
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
Third
9215
#36
27.80.2
28.027.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 3.5
4004
#40
31.33.3
31.828.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed