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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142146100200140124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.1
55.855.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
red by 3.8
48.81.2
47.546.4
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Second
5436
#28
44.50.1
42.242.3
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
blue by 1.1
5675
#14
45.61.2
47.646.4
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Third
4776
#22
41.20.1
39.039.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
red by 0.9
7166
#26
40.21.2
41.440.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned