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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19111750100150250188119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.61.2
56.958.1
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
red by 16.9
3414
#10
47.70.0
45.145.1
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
Second
64.21.2
61.863.0
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
red by 21.3
5114
#25
43.00.0
40.040.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Third
56.71.2
58.259.4
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
red by 23.2
5843
#21
33.50.0
34.134.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed