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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811250100150200144124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.4
64.665.0
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
red by 9.8
2054
#11
55.30.7
51.852.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
Second
6152
#32
31.90.4
34.635.0
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 0.2
1711
#34
32.10.7
35.235.9
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
Third
3875
#38
31.00.4
31.932.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
red by 4.3
3098
#29
26.70.7
21.422.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed