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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129136050100150200250144115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.1
46.447.5
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
red by 4.9
4779
#17
43.90.8
41.040.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Second
3536
#20
43.21.1
36.838.0
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
red by 2.0
4405
#39
41.20.8
47.646.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
Third
4776
#22
41.21.1
39.040.2
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
red by 0.9
7166
#26
40.20.8
40.239.4
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned